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2015-08-08T03:10:00.000Z 2015-08-08T03:10:00.000Z - MLB

971 Chicago White Sox
vs.
972 Kansas City Royals

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

08/07/2015

MLB Totals

OV CWS/KAN

2-3

8-115

1

L

-115

Analysis

1* Take Kansas City – Chicago White Sox OVER (#971-972)

The quietest streak in MLB right now comes from Chicago, where the White Sox are 10-0 to the Over in their last ten ballgames.  As I’ve written before, MLB totals streaks build upon themselves – Overs beget more Overs.  Struggling pitching staffs lead to tired, overworked bullpens while hot hitting lineups tend to stay hot until proven otherwise. 

Both circumstances (a hot lineup and a struggling pitching staff) are likely to be on full display in Kansas City tonight.   Chicago hasn’t seen any of their starting pitchers record an out past the sixth inning in their last seven ballgames, with multiple ugly stints from their starters during that span.  That’s how Chicago has allowed a whopping 70 runs during this ten game Over streak. 

I’m certainly not expecting a shutdown effort from White Sox starter John Danks, coming off his highest pitch count game since May.  Danks has spent the entire season getting lit up on the highway, with a 6.29 ERA in nine road starts compared to 3.70 at home.  He’s thrown only two quality starts in those nine road outings, including a loss right here in KC against the Royals.  And KC is certainly capable of generating runs against opposing southpaws that they are familiar with, just as they did against Mark Buehrle and the Blue Jays last weekend.

But I’m not looking to bet against the White Sox here either, because their lineup is on fire, averaging six runs per game during this streak of Overs and seven runs per game on their last road trip.  That’s bad news for Edison Volquez and the suddenly iffy Royals bullpen behind him; a unit that took the loss in Detroit yesterday.  Look for a handful of big innings in this one, resulting in a relatively high scoring affair.  Take the Over.

Pick Creation Time:
08/07/2015 7:18 AM
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