In their two road games this
season the Raiders allowed 19 and 16 points, but in each one of their three
home games they allowed 30-plus. We like
Oakland has suffered a negative takeaway margin in each of
their last two games and this indicates the OVER in this one. First of all, the Cardinals are 7-0 OU when
visiting a team that has had more turnovers than takeaways in each of their
last two games, flying over by an average of 18.0 ppg. Second, the Raiders are 6-0 OU when they had
a negative takeaway margin in each of their last two games, going over by an
average of 14.1 ppg.
The Cardinals, on the other hand, have benefited from a
positive takeaway margin in each of their last two games. This also indicates the OVER. Oakland is 8-0 OU (+14.88 ppg) at home when
their opponent has had a positive takeaway margin in each of their last two
games. The SDQL here is:
team=Raiders and H and op:TOM<0 and opp:TOM<0 and
Last week, it looked like the Redskins were going to get the
cover vs the Cardinals, as they had the ball with 30 seconds left trailing
23-20. However, Cousins threw a pick six
and the Cardinals got the 30-20 cover.
This is relevant here because Arizona is 7-0 OU (+12.21 ppg) as a
favorite after scoring a defensive touchdown.
The Cardinals are second in the league in takeaways,
averaging 2.20 per game and they have committed the third lowest turnovers at
0.60 per game. Oakland is 6-0 OU when
hosting a team that has turned the ball over less than 1.25 times per game
season-to-date, eclipsing the total by an average of 18.75 ppg. The SDQL text for this one is:
team=Raiders and H and oA(TO) < 1.25 and
Oakland had a time of possession on 22:58 last week against
the Bolts -- and the game was a close one.
Their defense should be compromised here and the Cardinals should be
able to put up 30-plus. Take the OVER.
MTi’s FORECAST: Arizona 31 OAKLAND 23