15* Play Under Phoenix/Utah at 10:35 ET.   Lenny spent years working on an NBA "totals system" and began using it in January '07 on the net, with great success. It's based on numerous factors, some of them listed here. Anticipated pace and style of both teams' play. Days of rest for teams or lack of it. Number of points scored by starters as compared to subs in recent outings (plus season-long averages). It also factors in point and rebounding differentials of the two teams. With all these factors (and many more), it's not possible to provide Lenny's "typical analysis" with his NBA totals selections. Last season was the first that he is now supplying trends & stats to supplement the plays.  We cashed the Suns Under last time on TNT, when they hosted the Clippers last Thursday.  Phoenix has become an "Under team" this year and bettors have been slow to react.  The Under is 39-25 Under in all Suns' games this season, 21-11 on the road + 25-15 as a dog.  Utah has gone Over in four straight games and is due to go Under.  That's confirmed by a 17-5 Under mark at home following BB games where they scored 110+ Points.  They are 10-4 Under this season when the total is 200+.  Both head to head matchups went Over last month, but this is like a playoff game (eight seed on the line) and will be lower-scoring.  Plays are rated 10* (Game of Day), 15* (Game of Week), 20* (Game of Month) and some rare 25* plays.  Under Phoenix/Utah is our 15* Late Breaking TNT Total. 

04/24/2012 11:12 AM