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Pro Pick From
Dr. Ed Meyer

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(At current odds)

2014-10-19T20:00:00.000Z 2014-10-19T20:00:00.000Z - NFL

461 Carolina Panthers
vs.
462 Green Bay Packers

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

10/19/2014

NFL Sides

Panthers

17-38

+7

2

L

-220

Analysis

Much will be made of the fact that the Panthers played a complete overtime session last week against the Bengals.  This, however, will just give us line value, as road dogs are 17-0-2 ATS the week after playing an overtime game on the road.  The SDQL text is:

AD and p:OT=1 and p:A and season >= 2009

These road dogs are a nice 12-7 straight up.

The Panthers themselves have no problem in their second straight road game, as they are a perfect 11-0 ATS (+9.8 ppg) in franchise history as a road dog on grass after a road game.  See for yourself by running this SDQL text:

team=Panthers and AD and surface=grass and p:A

Carolina is 5-0 STRAIGHT UP their last five, winning every game by more than a field goal and they were getting at least a field goal in all five games.

The Packers have won three straight and they have done it by forcing turnovers.  They had a 3-0 takeaway margin in each of their last two games.  This is a great indicator for the Panthers, as they are The Panthers are 6-0 ATS when their opponent has had a positive takaeaway margin in each of their last two games.  The SDQL here is:

team=Panthers and op:TOM<0 and opp:TOM<0 and date>=20121201

Carolina has won every game straight up and they have covered by an average of 14.4 ppg.

The Panthers have also had a positive takeaway margin in each of their last two games, but they are solid in this spot, going 8-0 ATS as an away dog when they committed fewer turnovers than their opponent in each of their last two games, as long as they did not win both by more than ten points. 

Grab this big number.

MTi’s FORECAST: GREEN BAY 24 Carolina 23

 

Pick Creation Time:
10/18/2014 2:36 PM
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