Tonight the NBA Finals will continue and I will have a Free Pick in Game 6 between the Golden State Warriors and the Cleveland Cavaliers which will be played at Quicken Loans Arena in Cleveland, Ohio. The game has a start time of 9:00 pm (Eastern) and will be televised on ABC. Current Vegas betting odds have Golden State listed as 4.5 point favorites, while the total is set at 195.
Analysis: The Warriors have found their groove after taking the last 2 games in pretty easy fashion. This is the healthier and fresher team that is looking to grab the NBA Title on their opponents home floor. The Warriors have gone 34-16 on the road this year and in game 4 they blasted the Cavs by 21 points on this floor. Golden State has gone 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games following a SU win of more than 10 points, but just 4-9 ATS in their last 13 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. The Warriors have scored 106.5 ppg on 45.9% shooting overall and 38.5% from long range on the road this year. Defensively they have been decent on the road as they have allowed 100.4 ppg on 42.9% shooting overall and 32.8% shooting from long range.
The Cavaliers are a very tired team right and even having the extra day off didn't help them in game 5 as they lost 104-91 in Oakland. Now their backs are against the wall and they only have 1 day to rest between games 5 and 6. This is not good for a Cavs team that is beat up and very tired right now. Lebron is great and is having a super series, but still he can't do it all alone. The Cavs are 38-12 at home this year. Cleveland has gone 15-5 ATS in their last 20 vs. the Western Conference, but just 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games vs the Warriors. The Cavaliers have been a good offensive team at home this year, scoring 103.3 ppg on 46.3% shooting overall and 38.1% shooting from long range. Defensively the Cavaliers have been solid at home, where they have allowed just 96.2 ppg on 46.1% shooting overall and 34.7% shooting from long range.
Pick: I will be going with the Warriors in this one. The Cavs are a very tired team right now as their lack of depth is starting to catch up with them. In game 5 they had an extra day and still ran out of gas in the 4th quarter. Now they have just 1 days rest and have to travel cross country to play a much fresher and deeper Golden State squad. The Warriors can taste the title right now and I do not see them letting up at all and giving Cleveland hope by forcing a game 7. This one will be over by the end of the 3rd quarter.
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Free Best Bet: Bet Against the Best--Fade LeBron in the NBA Finals
He may be the best in the game but if you want a great best bet for the NBA Finals, pro bettor Steve Fezzik says you should bet the under on LeBron James' individual in Game 3 against Golden State and beyond. He had a great opening two games, but Fezzik and pro handicapper Teddy Covers offer several reasons why LBJ can't keep up his superhuman performance.