Saturday night major league baseball and we will see the Boston Red Sox travel to Safeco Field to take on the Seattle Mariners. Free pick to follow First pitch is scheduled for a 9:10 PM (Eastern) start time and the game will be televised on the MLB Network.
Betting Odds
Boston +153
Seattle -163
Over/ Under: 6.5 U -120
This is game 3 of a 4 game series between these American League foes. Boston took game 1 by a score of 2-1, while Seattle repayed the favor by taking last night's game 2-1 on a walkoff hit in the bottom of the 9th. The Red Sox have now gone 17-19 overall and 10-10 on the road, while Seattle has gone 16-19 overall and 10-9 at home. Boston ranks 18th in the league in scoring (4.08 rpg), while on the mound they are 28th in ERA (4.72). The Mariners rank 25th in scoring (3.80 rpg), while on the mound they are 13th in ERA (3.88).
Trends for this game include: The Red Sox are 4-0 in Porcello's last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record, but just 3-7 in their last 10 during game 3 of a series and 16-39 in their last 55 games as a road underdog of +151 to +200. Seattle has gone 15-2 in Hernandez's last 17 starts with 5 days of rest and 14-3 in his last 17 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game, plus 10-1 in their last 11 games with the total set at 6.5 or lower.
Toeing the rubber for Boston tonight will be Rick Porcello, who is 3-2 with a 4.50 ERA in 7 starts this year. Rick is 4-3 with a 3.96 ERA in 8 career starts vs the Mariners, while at Safeco he is 2-0 with a 1.32 ERA in 2 starts.
Getting the ball for the Mariners tonight will be Felix Hernandez, who is off to an amazing start as he is 6-0 with a 1.85 ERA in 7 starts so far. Felix has had good success vs the Red Sox in his career, going 8-2 with a 3.06 ERA in 16 starts vs them.
Pick: I am going with the Under in this one as both offenses are struggling to score and there is a good pitching matchup on the mound. The Sox come in averaging just 2.4 rpg in their last 10 games and they have scored 2 or less in 6 of the 8 games they have played on this trip so far. Now they take on Felix Hernandez, who is off to an amazing start, posting a 1.85 ERA in 7 starts so far, including a 1.20 ERA in 34 home starts so far. Rick Porcello got off to a bit of a slow start, but he now comes in off 3 solid outings in a row, posting a 1.89 ERA in that stretch, plus he has a 1.32 ERA in 2 career starts in this park. He will be taking on a struggling Seattle offense that has scored just 5 run in their last 3 games combined. Let's also note that in their last 2 games they took on both Joe Kelly and Clay Buchholz, who had both been struggling and the Mariners scored very little off of them. Porcello s in much better form than those two. Struggling offenses vs hot pitching in a pitchers park should yield 3 or 4 runs at most.
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