Wednesday night baseball and I will have a Free Pick in the game between the New York Yankees and the Toronto Blue Jays, which will be played at the Rogers Centre in Toronto. First pitch is scheduled for an 7:05 PM (Eastern) start time and the game will be televised locally.
Betting Odds
New York -105
Toronto -105
Over/ Under: 8.5 O -115
This is game 3 of this 3 game set between these division rivals. The teams have split the first two games of this series and the Hays ho,e a 3-2 edge in the season series. NY comes in leading the AL East with a 17-10 record and are 5th in the league in scoring (4.85 rpg), while on the mound they are 6th in ERA (3.17). Toronto is last in the AL East with a 13-15 record and they are tops in the league in scoring (5.36 rpg), while on the mound they are 29th in ERA (4.97).
A look at some tends for this game show us that the Yanks are 22-8 in Sabathia's last 30 road starts vs. a team with a losing record and 30-13 in his last 43 starts during game 3 of a series, but 0-6 in his last 6 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. The Jays have gone 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter and 11-3 in Buehrle's last 14 starts during game 3 of a series, but just 1-8 in his last 9 starts vs. Yankees.
Getting the ball tonight for the Yankees will be CC Sabathia, who comes in at 0-4 with a 5.40 ERA on the year. He has struggled mightily so far. CC is 15-5 with a 3.25 ERA in 21 career starts vs the Jays, including 7-1 with a 2.95 ERA in 9 career starts at the Rogers Centre, but he has faced them once since 2011 in this park.
Getting the ball tonight for the Blue Jays will be Mark Buehrle, who is 3-2 on the year, but with a very lofty 6.75 ERA. Mark cringes every time he faces the Yankees as he has had no success at vs them in his career, posting a 1-14 record with a 6.21 ERA i 21 career starts vs them. In his last 5 starts vs them he is 0-4 with a 6.83 ERA. Ouch.
Pick: CC Sabathia is no where near the pitcher he once was and he comes into this game with a 5.40 ERA on the year. He has a career 3.73 ERA on the road, but since the beginning of 2013 that ERA is 4.97 in 24 starts away from home. CC has a career 2.95 ERA at the Rogers Center, but has pitched here once since 2011 and in that game (2014) he allowed 4 ERs in 6 innings of work. Now he faces the top scoring offense in the league as the Jays come in averaging 5.36 rpg overall, including 5.17 rpg at home. Oh yeah and they have also averaged a hefty 8.4 rpg in Mark Buehrle's 5 starts this year so far. Speaking of Mark, he has been rocked this year and also isn't the pitcher he once was, as he comes in with a lofty 6.75 ERA on the year and he has also struggled vs the Yanks of late, posting a 6.83 ERA in his last 5 starts vs them. Actually we note that he is 1-14 with a 6.21 ERA in 21 career starts vs the Yanks. This is not a team he has had any success vs over the year and I don't expect him to slow down this offense that has averaged 5.07 rpg on the road this year. Both of these offenses are very good and both should be able to tag this pathetic pitching matchup early and often as we get at least 12 runs scored in this game.
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MLB Free Picks: Yankees vs Blue Jays
What pro baseball bettors need to know about betting New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays on Wednesday (5/06/15) - a free pick from Pregame.com's Teddy Covers with added insight from Steve Fezzik.