Friday night baseball and I will have a Free Pick in the game between the New York Mets and the New York Yankees, which will be played at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx. First pitch is scheduled for an 7:05 PM (Eastern) start time and the game will be televised on MLB Network.
Betting Odds
NY Mets +114
NY Yankees -124
Over/ Under: 7 -115
This is game 1 of a 3 game series between these in-state rivals. The NY Mets are the hottest team in baseball as they come in having won 11 straight games. Overall the Mets have the best record at 13-3 and they are 3-3 on the road. The Yanks come in hot as well as they have won 6 of their last 7 games and just took 3 of 4 in Detroit. For the year the Yanks are now 9-7 overall, but just 2-4 at home.
The Mets come in ranked 11th in scoring (4.56 rpg), 13th in hitting (.249) and 24th in homers (10), while on the mound they are 2nd in ERA (2.81) and 3rd in WHIP (1.09). The Mets have gone 13-3 in their last 16 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game, but 4-9 in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning record and 1-5 in deGrom's last 6 starts as a road underdog of +110 to +150
The Yankees come in ranked 3rd in scoring (5.31 rpg), 18th in hitting (.239) and 3rd in homers (21), while on the mound they are 10th in ERA (3.34) and 12th in WHIP (1.24). The Yanks have gone 44-17 in their last 61 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record and 90-43 in their last 133 interleague home games, but 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs the Mets.
Getting the ball tonight for the Mets tonight will be Jacob deGrom, who is 2-1 with an 0.93 ERA in 3 starts this year. Jacob's home away splits have not been great in career as he is 7-3 with a 1.43 ERA at home, but just 4-4 with a 3.59 ERA on the road. Jacob faced the Yanks once in his career and that was at home last year. He lost the game 1-0, Allowing just 1 ER in 7 innings of work.
Getting the ball for the Yanks tonight will be Michael Pineda, who is 2-0 this year in 3 starts, but with a high 5.00 ERA. Michael is 3-1 with a 1.77 ERA in 7 career starts at Yankee stadium and he is 3-1 with a 1.39 ERA in 5 career inter-league starts.
Pick: I will be going with the Under in this game. Pineda has struggled in the early going, but he is at home where he has pitched well in his career. He does have a 5.00 ERA overall, but a 3.00 ERA in his lone home start this year and he has a career 1.77 ERA at Yankee stadium, plus a 1.39 ERA in 5 career interleague starts. Nice numbers to have and the Mets have struggled on offense on the road this year. The Yanks have scored 5.17 rpg at home, but they hit just .228 here, including just .224 vs righties and deGrom is a good one. Jacob has started out hot this year with an 0.93 ERA and last year when he faced the Yanks he allowed just 1 ER in 7 innings of a 1-0 loss. The Under is 43-20 in the Yanks last 63 interleague games and I see this one following suit.
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