Thursday night College Basketball and we will see the St Mary's Gaels travel to the McCarthey Athletic Center to take on the Gonzaga Bulldogs. The game has a start time of 11:00 pm (Eastern) and will be televised on ESPN U. Current Vegas betting odds have Gonzaga listed as 15 point favorites, while the total is set at 137.5.  

Analysis:  The St Mary's Gaels come in having won 9 straight games, which includes winning their first 7 games in the WCC so far this year. Overall the Gaels are 15-3, including 4-1 in true road games. St Mary's is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 vs. West Coast and 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games overall, but just 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Gonzaga. The Gaels have been a decent offensive team this year, ranking 90th in scoring (71.7 ppg), 44th in shooting (46.8%), 96th in 3 point shooting (36.4%) and 98th in FT shooting (71.1%). Defensively the Gaels have been decent, as they come in ranked 119th in points allowed (63.3 ppg), 284th in defensive FG% (44.9%) and 124th in 3 point defense (32.5%).  

The Gonzaga Bulldogs come in ranked 3rd in the nation, with an 18-1 record overall, including an 8-0 mark at home. The Zags have won 11 games in a row, which includes their first 7 games of WCC play. The Zags are 20-7-2 ATS in their last 29 games following a ATS loss and 10-4-2 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record, but just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games at home. Gonzaga has been a very good offensive team this year, ranking 9th in scoring (81.8 ppg), 1st in shooting (53.0%), 10th in 3 point shooting (40.7%) and 110th in FT shooting (70.7%). Defensively the Zags have been very solid, as they come in ranked 62nd in points allowed (61.5 ppg), 34th in defensive FG% (38.5%) and 80th in 3 point defense (36.2%).  

Pick: Gonzaga is one of the better teams in the nation and will contend for the National Title this year, but this line is too high vs a team that has won 9 games in a row. I know that the Zags have whipped the Gaels in each of the last 4 meetings, but it really hard to see that happening here. This St Mary's team is playing with a ton of confidence right now and they have the kind of defense that should be able to keep the Zags in check. I see this one decided by 8 or less.   

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