NCAA basketball on Wednesday night and we will see the San Diego State Aztecs travel to Cincinnati, Ohio to take on the Cincinnati Bearcats. The game has a start time of 9:00 pm (Eastern) and will be televised on ESPN 2. Vegas odds have the Bearcats listed as 2 point favorites, while the total sits at 109.
Analysis: The Aztecs come in ranked 17th in the nation with a 7-2 record, that includes an 0-1 mark in their lone true road game. The Aztecs have split their last 4 games with the two losses coming vs Washington and Arizona. The Aztecs are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win, 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and 42-18-2 ATS in their last 62 road games. San Diego State has not been a good offensive team this year, ranking 284th in scoring (62.3 ppg), 290th in shooting (40.1%), 310th in 3 point defense (28.3%) and 316th in FT shooting (62.1%). Defensively they have been very good, ranking 14th in points allowed (55 ppg), 17th in defensive FG% (36.0 %) and 78th in 3 point defense (30.1%).
The Cincinnati Bearcats come into this game having lost 2 of their last 3 games, but they are still 6-2 on the year, which includes a perfect 5-0 mark at home. The Bearcats are 36-17-2 ATS in their last 55 Wednesday games, but just 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. loss and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games. The Bearcats have also been a poor offensive squad, ranking 303rd in scoring (61.2 ppg), 243rd in shooting (41.8%), 276th in 3 point shooting (30.0%) and 262nd in FT shooting (65.3%). The defense for the Bearcats has been excellent as they come in ranked 8th in points allowed (52.8 ppg), 29th in defensive FG% (37.2%), and 127th in 3 point defense (31.7%).
Pick: Question here is, can either team hit 55 points. I will say no. Both of these teams play a very slow brand of ball as they Bearcats come in 289th in shots per game, while the Aztecs are 240th. Both of these teams play excellent defense as the Aztecs are 14th in points allowed, giving up just 55 ppg, while the Bearcats are 8th in points allowed, giving up just 52.8 ppg. on the offensive end of the floor the Bearcats have averaged just 61.2 ppg, while the Aztecs have put up just 62.3 ppg. Both teams are low possession teams and when they do have the ball they don't do a whole lot with it, especially since both teams are poor shooting teams overall, from long range and at the charity stripe. I just can see how there will be enough possessions for either team, against these defenses to put up 111 points. Im not even sure that 100 points will be scored in this one. The Under is 25-10 in San Diego State's last 35 games, while the Under is 44-11 in Cincinnati's last 55 overall and 41-12 in their last 53 non-conference games. 50-48 sounds about right for this one.
-$25 of picks FREE! No Obligation - No Credit Card Required - Becoming a member is Fast and Free!
Stay on top of the latest odds and line moves for CBB Season with our real-time odds from Las Vegas and offshore!
Wiseguy Secrets: NFL Betting in December
Teddy Covers from Pregame.com and Pauly Howard take a look at what the sharps approach is to late season NFL betting.