Sunday NFL and we will see the Houston Texans take on the Indianapolis Colts at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, Indiana. The game has a start time of 1:00 pm (Eastern) and will be televised on CBS. Current Vegas odds have the Colts listed as 6.5 point favorites, while the total is set at 49.  

Analysis:  The Houston Texans have won 2 in a row to push their record to 7-6 on the year. Still they are 2 games behind Indianapolis Colts in the AFC South and also a game out of the wildcard race in the AFC. The Texans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games, but just  3-12 ATS in their last 15 games following a ATS win and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games on fieldturf. Houston has been rather average offensive team this year, ranking 15th in total offense, 24th in passing, 4th in rushing and 12th in scoring (24.2 ppg). The Defense for Houston comes in ranked 25th in yards allowed. 28th vs the pass, 15th vs the run and 7th in points allowed (20 ppg). 

The Indianapolis Colts come in off a hard fought 25-234 win over Cleveland in a game that they really had no business winning. Still they did and have now won 3 in a row and have a 2 game lead over the Texans in the AFC South. The Colts are 15-2 ATS in their last 17 games following a ATS loss and 16-5 ATS in their last 21 vs. AFC South, while the home team is 7-2 ATS the last 9 meetings. The Colts have the best offense in the league, ranked 1st in total yards, 1st in passing, 18th in rushing and 2nd in scoring (31.3 ppg). The defense for the Colts has been very average, ranking 18th in yards allowed, 22nd vs the pass, 13th vs the run and 19th in points allowed (23.6 ppg).

Pick: I am going to go with the Colts here. Houston has won 2 in a row, but that was vs Tennessee and Jacksonville, while just 2 of their 7 wins this year have been by winning teams and even those two wins have been vs marginal competition (Cleveland and Buffalo). Houston lost at home 33-28 to Indy and taking the 28th rated pass defense on the road to face the top passing offense in the league is not usually a good recipe for success. The Colts have outscored their opponents by 10.7 ppg at home, plus have the added motivation of knowing that should they win this game the division will officially be theirs. Let's also note that Andrew Luck is 13-1 ATS off an ATS loss. Colts win by DD here.

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