NFL Week 15 and the Green Bay Packers will travel to Ralph Wilson Stadium to take on the Buffalo Bills. The game has a start time of 1:00 pm (Eastern) and will be televised on FOX. Current Vegas odds have Green Bay listed as 5 point favorites, while the total is set at 50.5.
Analysis: The Green Bay Packers come in hot as they have won 5 games in a row, which has helped them take a 1 game lead over the Detroit Lions in the NFC North. The Packers are 21-7-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 games following a ATS loss, but just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game. The Packers offense has been very good this year, ranking 6th in total yards, 6th in passing, 14th in rushing and 1st in scoring (32.5 ppg). The defense for the Packers has not been great, ranking 26th in yards allowed, 20th vs the pass, 25th vs the run and 18th in points allowed (23.4 ppg).
The Bills are still fighting for a playoff berth with a 7-6 record on the year. The Bills lost a tough game at Denver last week, but still they have won 3 of their last 4 games and they have gone 4-3 at home this year. The Bills are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, but just 8-18-1 ATS in their last 27 games following a ATS win and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Buffalo has been a below average offensive team, ranking 22nd in total yards, 17th in passing, 25th in rushing and 17th in scoring (17.6 ppg). The Bills have been excellent on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 5th in yards allowed, 5th vs the pass, 8th vs the run and 4th in points allowed (18.5 ppg).
Pick: I like the Under in this game. Bills games have gone 11-2 to the Under this year, while their home games have averaged just 38.2 ppg so for this year. The Bills are an excellent defensive squad and they have the kind of defensive line that can give the Packers fits, especially on the road, as evidenced by struggles vs Seattle, Detroit and Miami away from home. The Bills have allowed just 18.7 ppg at home, while the Packers have averaged just 22.5 ppg away from home. This is not the same offense away from home. The Packers had some problems last week vs the Falcons on defense, but this Bills offense is a far cry from the Falcon offense. Overall the Bills have averaged just 21.6 ppg, including 19.5 ppg at home and even though the Packer defense has struggled away from home I just don't see Buffalo getting a ton of points here. With the way the Packers have struggled on the road offensively and the way the Bills have played defense and offense this year, I just can't see this one putting up more than 42 points.
-$25 of picks FREE! No Obligation - No Credit Card Required - Becoming a member is Fast and Free!
Stay on top of the latest odds and line moves for NFL Season with our real-time odds from Las Vegas and offshore!
NFL Free Picks: Pittsburgh Steelers vs Atlanta Falcons Betting
What pro football bettors need to know about betting Pittsburgh Steelers vs Atlanta Falcons on Sunday (12/14/14) - a free pick from Pregame.com's Brady Kannon with added insight from Steve Fezzik.