NCAA basketball on Saturday and we will see the North Carolina Tar Heels take on the Kentucky Wildcats at Rupp Arena in Lexington, Kentucky. The game has a start time of 12:00 pm (Eastern) and will be televised on CBS. Vegas odds have the Wildcats listed as 12 point favorites, while the total sits at 133.

Analysis: The North Carolina Tar Heels come in ranked 18th in the nation with a 6-2 mark on the year. The Heels have played a couple neutral site games this year, but their will be their first true road game. North Carolina is 17-3-1 ATS in their last 21 vs. Southeastern and 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS win, but just 11-27 ATS in their last 38 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game. The Heels have been a decent offensive team, ranking 29th in scoring (81.4 ppg), 118th in shooting (44.9%), 311th in 3 point shooting and 148th in FT shooting (69.8%). The Defense has been decent for this team, ranking 135th in points allowed, 5th in defensive FG (33.5%) and 5th in 3 point defense (24.1%).

The Kentucky Wildcats are the top ranked team in the nation, with a 10-0 record, that also includes a 9-0 record at home. This is a very talented team, bt they did suffer a major blow when Alex Poythress was lost for the year. The Cats are  4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss, but 6-18-1 ATS in their last 25 vs. Atlantic Coast and 6-18-1 ATS in their last 25 vs. Atlantic Coast. The Cats are a solid offensive team, ranking 65th in scoring (75.4 ppg), 84th in shooting (46.6%), 314th in 3 point shooting (27.7%) and 259th in FT shooting (65.3%). The defense for the Cats is the best n the nation as they rank 1st in points allowed (45.9 ppg), 1st in defensive FG% (28.7%) and 13th in 3 point defense (25.4%).  

Pick:  Gonna go with the Under in this one. Both of these teams have played great defense this year, both teams have played a rather slow brand of ball and that is a good recipe for a low scoring game. We also note that both teams are horrible from long range and the Heels are average from the charity stripe, while the Cats are horrible from them. I just can't see this one hitting the 130s at all. 

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