College football week 15 and the Kansas State Wildcats will travel to McLane Stadium to take on the Baylor Bears. The game has a start time of 7:45 pm (Eastern) and will be televised on ESPN. Current Vegas odds have the Bears listed as 7.5 point favorites, while the total is set at 66.5.
Analysis: The Kansas State Wildcats come into this game having gone 9-2 on the year, which includes a 3-1 mark at home. The Wildcats are also 7-1 in the Big 12 and in a first play tie with both Baylor and TCU, making this a very important game. The Wildcats are 21-6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 37-13-1 ATS in their last 51 conference games, while the road teams is just 1-5 ATS the last 6 in the series. The Wildcats have been a solid offensive team this year, ranking 50th in total yards, 22nd in passing, 92nd in rushing and 22nd in scoring (36.6 ppg). On the defensive side of the ball they have been a very solid bunch, ranking 23rd in yards allowed, 57th vs the pass, 19th vs the run and 17th in points allowed (20.3 ppg).
The Baylor Bears come in at 10-1 on the year and are sitting just outside a final four playoff berth. A win here will certainly help them, but they still may need a little help to get into the playoffs. The Bears are 23-5 ATS in their last 28 home games and 19-9-1 ATS in their last 29 conference games, but just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win. The Bears have the best offense in the nation, ranking 1st in total yards, 6th in passing, 20th in rushing and 1st in scoring (49.8 ppg). The defense for the Bears has been solid as they come in ranked 40th in yards allowed, 103rd vs the pass, 10th vs the run and 40th in points allowed (23.9 ppg).
Pick: Looks like Petty will go for the Bears and that really has me looking at their side for this one. Baylor nearly lost last week to Texas Tech and it cost them in the standings. I fully expect them to come out focused here and take care of a Kansas State team that was beaten by 21 points at TCU earlier in the year. Baylor will look to at least duplicate that if they can on a field where they have outscored their opponents by 35.8 ppg this year.
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