Sunday NFL and we will see the Oakland Raiders take on the San Diego Chargers at Qualcomm Stadium in San Diego, California. The game has a start time of 4:05 pm (Eastern) and will be televised on CBS. Current Vegas odds have the Chargers listed as 10 point favorites, while the total is set at 45.
Analysis: The Oakland Raiders are having another miserable year as they come in with an 0-9 record overall that includes an 0-4 mark on the year. The Best game they may have played this year was a 31-28 home loss vs the Chargers back in October. The Raiders are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 week 11 games, but they are also just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games vs the AFC and 3-9 ATS after a Bye week. The Raiders are not a good offensive team at all, ranking 32nd in total yards, 24th in passing, 32nd in rushing and 30th in scoring (16.2 ppg). The defense has not been very good for this team either as they come in ranked 24th in total yards allowed, 18th vs the pass, 27th vs the run and 28th in points allowed (28 ppg).
The Chargers were touted by many as possible Super Bowl contenders after their 5-1 start, but now with 3 losses in a row the Chargers will be fighting down the stretch just to make it to the post season. The bye week should help this team as they will be getting back Manti Te’o and Ryan Mathews for this one. The Bolts are 9-1 ATS after scoring 15 points or less in their previous game, but are also just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games coming off a bye week. The Chargers are a rather average offensive squad that ranks 21st in total yards, 11th in passing, 30th in rushing and 17th in scoring (22.8 ppg). Defensively the Bolts have been solid, ranking 12th in yards allowed, 10th vs the pass, 17th vs the run and 8th in points allowed (20.7 ppg).
Pick: I will look to the under here. In the earlier game this year the teams put up 59 total points, but that is not the norm for this series as the Under is 12-3-1 the last 16 between these teams and 7-1-1 the last 9 games played here. The Raiders offense has averaged just 16.2 ppg for the year and have only scored more than 17 points just twice in a game. On was the 28 they out up on the Bolts, but I expect the chargers to make the proper adjustments so that that doesn’t happen again. For San Diego on offense they have really become a methodical grind it out type of offense and getting back running back Ryan Mathews will help in that respect, especially vs an Oakland defense that is ranked 27th in the league vs the run. The last 5 games played here between these teams has put up just 41.2 ppg and I see this on coming in at least a TD below that as only one team can score in this one and both offenses play very slow.
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