Sunday NFL and we will see the St Louis Rams take on the Arizona Cardinals at University of Phoenix Stadium in Glendale, Arizona. The game has a start time of 4:25 pm (Eastern) and will be televised on FOX. Current Vegas odds have the Cardinals listed as 6.5 point favorites, while the total is set at 43.
Analysis: The St Louis Rams come in off a huge road win over the 49ers. Still the Rams are in last place in the NFC West with a 3-5 record. They haven't played all that bad on the road, where they are 2-2 on the year. The Rams are 6-1 ATS away in game 9 of the season, but are also just 24-51-1 ATS in their last 76 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win. The Rams have had their issues on offense this year, ranking 28th in total yards, 25th in passing, 22nd in rushing and 28th in scoring (18.6 ppg). The defense hasn't been much better for this team as they come in ranked 17th in total defense, 8th vs the pass, 29th vs the run and 27th in points allowed (27.5 ppg).
The Arizona Cardinals have been the surprise of the NFL so far and currently own the leagues best record at 7-1, which includes a perfect 4-0 mark at home. The Cardinals are 11-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record and 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a S.U. win, but the favorite is just 1-4 ATS the last 5 in the series. Arizona is a very average offensive team that ranks 23rd in total yards, 16th in passing, 28th in rushing and 14th in scoring (24 ppg). The defense is where this teams bread is buttered, as they come in ranked 19th in total yards allowed, 32nd vs the pass, 3rd vs the run and 5th in points allowed (19.5 ppg).
Pick: I think we will have to look at the Under in this game. The Rams have scored just 20 total points in their last 2 games, with both games being on the road and now for the year they have averaged just 16.8 ppg away from home. Now they have to try and put up points on an Arizona squad that has allowed just 17.8 ppg at home. On offense the Cards are not an explosive team and have averaged just 23.8 ppg at home, while the Rams have allowed just 23.8 ppg on the road. I see this as a 23-17 type game.
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