NFL week 10 and the Kansas City Chiefs will travel to Paul Brown Stadium to take on the Buffalo Bills. The game has a start time of 1:00 pm (Eastern) and will be televised on CBS. Current Vegas odds have the Chiefs listed as 1.5 point favorites, while the total is set at 42.
Analysis: The Kansas City Chiefs come in having won 3 in a row and 5 of their last 6 to push their season record to 5-3 on the year. The Chiefs have already beaten the Dolphins, Pats and Jets, so a win in this game gives them a sweep of the AFC East. The Chiefs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC and 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games, but they are also just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 meetings. The Chiefs have been an average offensive team this year, ranking 21st in total offense, 29th in passing, 6th in rushing and 12th in scoring (25 ppg). The defense for the Chiefs has been very good, as they come in ranked 5th in yards allowed, 1st vs the pass, 19th vs the run and 2nd in points allowed (17.2 ppg).
The Buffalo Bills also come into this game at 5-3 on the year and are in a second place tie in the AFC East with the Miami Dolphins. Buffalo has played better on the road than at home, where they are just 2-2 on the year. The Bills are 6-1 ATS before playing on Thursday's, but are also just 10-24-2 ATS in their last 36 home games vs. a team with a winning road record and 9-24-1 ATS in their last 34 games following a S.U. win. Buffalo is not all that strong on offense, ranking 24th in total yards, 20th in passing, 23rd in rushing and 20th in scoring (22.2 ppg). The defense for the Bills has been very good this year, as they rank 8th in yards allowed, 13th vs the pass, 8th vs the run and 6th in points allowed (20.6 pg).
Pick: I will be looking at the Under in this game. Neither team is all that explosive on offense while both defenses have been very stout and that should lead to a nice low scoring game in this one. The Chiefs come in with the top ranked pass defense in the league, while allowing just 17.2 ppg so far. The Bills offense is hampered by injuries, especially to their running game, meaning a very average Bills passing game with have to try and move the ball on this very good Chiefs passing game. I don’t see that happening. I also don’t expect a mediocre Chiefs offense to move the ball a whole lot on thi buffalo defense that has all wed just 20.6 ppg overall and 21.3 ppg at home. No more than 38 in this one.
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