Friday night College Football and we will see the Connecticut Huskies take on the South Florida Bulls at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida. The game has a start time of 8:00 pm (Eastern) and will be televised on ESPN. Current Vegas odds have the Bulls listed as 2 point favorites, while the total is set at 44.
Analysis: The Connecticut Huskies come in off a tough 38-21 loss to Boise State. The game was close than the final score would indicate, as the Huskies trailed by just 3 at the end of the 3rd quarter and they were outgained by just 4 yards in the contest. UConn was also better on 3rd downs than the Broncos and had 18 FDs to Boise’s 13, but it was really 3 turnovers that did in the Huskies. Chandler Whitmer has not been all that great for the Huskies under center this year as he has complete just 49.3% of his passes for 464 yards with 3 TDs and 2 INTs thus far. Deshon Foxx had a good game vs the Broncos, catching 6 passes for 107 yards and a TD and now has 9 catches for 134 yards on the year. The Huskies come in ranked 118th in total offense (289.3 ypg) and 118th in scoring (16.7 ppg), while on defense they are 55th in yards allowed (369 ypg) and 92nd in points allowed (29.7 ppg)
The South Florida Bulls had a shot at getting off to a good start this year as their first 4 games of the season are all at home, but should they win this one the best they can do is 2-2. Last week they were a short dog to NC State, but were really blown out of the water in the 49-17 loss. The Bulls were pathetic on both sides of the ball, especially on offense where they put up just 159 yards of total offense, hit just 5 of 20 passes for 89 yards, had 3 turnovers and just 8 firstdowns in the game. Bad offense is nothing new for this team as they rank 116th in total offense (300.3 ypg) and 99th in scoring (22.3 ppg). On defense they allowed the Wolfpack to pile up 589 yards of total offense, rush for 315 yards, put up 30 firstdowns and hit 69% of their 3rd downs. For the year now the Bulls rank 103 rd in total defense (453.3 ypg) and 103rd in points allowed (34.7 ppg).
Pick: I will go with the Under in this game. Very hard not to like the Under here. The South Florida Bulls are a horrid offensive team as they have averaged just 300.3 ypg and just came off a game vs a suspect NC State defense and managed just 159 yards and 8 firstdowns in the game. Now they take on a UConn team that looks to have a top 20 defense on their hands this year. Bob Diaco is the head coach for this team after serving as DC at Notre Dame, so defense is his forte and he has a good one here. It really showed in their last game vs the high powered Boise State Broncos, as the Huskies held them to just 292 yards and 13 FDs in the game. How in the hell will the Bulls score in this game. If they do it won’t be much. The Huskies are not a good offensive team either, as they have averaged just 289.3 ppg and 16.7 ppg on the year. Bob Diaco will get the offense turned around eventually, but for now he will rely on his defense to win games. Both coaches are conservative and both teams play at a snails pace. All that should add up to a game in the 30’s at best.
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