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Sports news with a Vegas perspective.

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    09/07/2011 10:47 PM
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New Orleans Saints vs Indianapolis Colts NFL Preseason Free Pick, Odds

NFL preseason week 3 and we get a matchup between the New Orleans Saints and the Indianapolis Colts at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, Indiana. The game has a start time of 8.00 pm (Eastern) and will be televised on CBS. Current Vegas odds have the Colts listed as 2 point favorites, while the total is set at 47.5.  

Analysis: The New Orleans Saints come in with a perfect 2-0 mark in the Preseason, with wins over the Rams and the Titans. Both games were without QB Drew Brees, but he will be apart of this one for about the first half. Last week Logan Kilgore, Ryan Griffin and Luke McCown combined to hit 27 of 42 passes for 321 yards, with 4 TDs and no INTs. very good job by the backups. The Saints are looking for out of their running game this year, but so far that hasn't panned out as they have averaged just 100.5 ppg in their two games. Last week they put up just 78 yards on the ground and Mark Ingram led the way with just 19 yards. The defense has been poor for the Saints so far, as they have allowed 400 ypg and 24 ppg in their 2 games.

The Colts come in at 0-2 in the preseason, with losses to the Jets and Giants. last week's loss to the Giants was very disturbing for this team, as they entered the 4th quarter with 23-0 lead, but the Giants put up 27 4th quarter points and won the game 27-26. Despite the 0-2 mark, and the 4th qtr collapse the Colts defense has played very well so far, allowing 270 ypg overall and 178 ypg though the air. Last week the Giants hit under 50% of their passes (18/37) and the Colts will need that strong pass defense vs the Saints in this one. Offense has not been good for this team, as they have averaged 263 ypg and 18 ppg thus far. The running game is struggling as always as they have put up just 67 ypg on the ground. Andrew Luck looked sharp in last week's loss against the New York Giants, completing 12-of-18 passes for 89 yards with one touchdown, while leading 3 scoring drives on the night.         

Pick:  I will be going with the Under in this one. I know that Brees will be in their for the Saints, but still the Colts Pass defense has been strong and I also expect the Saints to work some on their ground attack, which they have stated they want to do more of this year. The Colts Offense has been awful this year and I don't really expect them to break out here vs a Saints defense that is looking to improve on their first two weeks. Hard to see more than 42 points in this one.   

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