The Miami Heat and San Antonio Spurs are set to meet in Game 2 of the NBA Finals on Sunday Night. The game will be played at the AT&T Center in San Antonio, Texas and has a start time of 8:00 pm (Eastern), while being televised on ABC. Vegas odds have the Spurs listed as 4 point favorites, while the total sits at 199.5.
Analysis: The Miami Heat looked like they might be able to steal game 1 of this series, but then cramps hit Lebron James and the Spurs finished the game on a 16-3 run to win game 1 by 15. The Heat are now just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in San Antonio. The Heat have averaged 101.7 ppg on 50% shooting overall this year, while in the post-season they have put up 98.9 ppg on 49.5% shooting. The post-season scoring is led by Lebron James, who is averaging 27.0 ppg so far, while also leading the team in rebounding at 6.8 rpg and assists (4.9). Dwayne Wade (18.7 ppg) and Chris Bosh (15.4 ppg) have also averaged in double figures for the Heat so far. Defensively the Heat have been very stout in the playoffs, allowing just 93.3 ppg on 46.9% shooting. They do play good defense, but that is more of a reflection of who they have played in the post-season thus far and it showed in game 1 as they allowed 110 points in that game.
The San Antonio Spurs came into the post season with the league’s best record and have and have parlayed their #1 seed into a date with the Heat in the NBA Finals. After their game 1 victory over the Heat, the Spurs are now 42-10 at home and have destroyed their last 8 opponents on this floor, winning each game at least 17 points. The Spurs have averaged 105.6 ppg on 48.6% shooting overall this year, while in the post-season they have put up 106.7 ppg on 48.7% shooting. In the playoffs the scoring has been led by Tony Parker, who is averaging 17.3 ppg, while Tim Duncan is a close 2nd at 16.7 ppg. Manu Ginobili (14.4 ppg) and Kawhi Leonard (13.1 ppg) round out the double digit scorers for the team in the post-season. Defensively this was a solid team this year, ranking 6th in points allowed (97.6 ppg) and 8th in defensive FG% defense (44.4%), and in the playoffs they have been solid as well, allowing just 98.6 ppg on 43.2% shooting.
Pick: Yes I will be going back to the Under here. The Heat will not want a track meet here, especially if the building is as hot as it was the other night. I really look for them to slow the pace here. Plus with the possibility of a long series and just 1 day off between each game now I look for both teams trying to conserve energy for the long haul. The Heat are a very good defensive team and have allowed just 93.3 ppg in the post season thus far, so I really look for them to clamp it down at that end of the floor. In game 1 the Heat put up just 95 points and the Spurs have allowed right around 97 ppg at home this year, so their defense was spot on and I expect the same intensity from them at that end of the floor in this one as well. I do not see this as a track meet, which should keep the scoring to right around 190 at best.
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