NCAA basketball on Sunday night and we will see the Stanford Cardinal travel to Tuscon, Arizona to take on the Arizona Wildcats. The game has a start time of 8:00 pm (Eastern) and will be televised on ESPN U. Vegas odds have the Wildcats listed as 10.5 point favorites, while the total has been set at 134.
Analysis: The Stanford Cardinals come in at 18-9 overall and 9-6 within the PAC-12. Stanford has won 5 of their last 7 games and to Arizona to the limit in a 3 point loss at home earlier in the year. The Cardinal averages a solid 75.2 ppg on 46.6% shooting overall and 38% from long range for the year. The offense is led by Chasson Randle, who averages 18.7 ppg on the year. 2nd leading scorer, Dwight Powell, checks in with 14.7 ppg, while ranking 2nd on the team in rebounding at 7.4 rpg. Anthony Brown averages 13.7 ppg, while Josh Huestis puts in 11.7 ppg and leads the team in rebounding at 8.4 rpg. Huestis also has 54 blocks on the year. On defense, the Cardinal allows 69 ppg (143rd) on just 41.5 shooting, which is 79th in the nation.
Arizona comes in at 26-2 overall and 13-2 in the PAC-12. The Cats have won 3 in a row, with the last 2 coming in blowout fashion over Colorado and California. Arizona is 17-0 on their home floor and they have outscored their opponents by 22 ppg in this building this year. The Cats are led by their stout defense that comes in allowing just 57.9 pg on 38.1 % shooting overall and 54.4 ppg on 36.5% shooting on their home floor. They are ranked 5th in points allowed and 7th in defensive FG% this year. On offense, the Cats average a solid 73.9 ppg (94th) on 47.1% shooting (50th), but they don't hit their FTs all that well, hitting them at just 66% to rank 298th in the nation. Nick Johnson leads the offense with 16.9 ppg, while Aaron Gordon is 2nd at 11.9 ppg and he leads the team in rebounding at 7.8 rpg.
Pick: Going to go with the under in this one. Earlier this year these teams played a game that put just 117 points on the board and this one may not put up much more than that. The Cats home games have averaged just slightly over 130 pg and a big reason is because of their defense that allows just 54.4 ppg on their home floor. The Cats do average 76 ppg at home, but Stanford is a solid defensive team that allows 69.6 ppg on 43.9% shooting on the road and they have allowed just 65.8 ppg on 42.4% shooting in their last 5 games. Stanford averages 69.9 ppg on the road, but they won't come close to that vs this team on this floor. Another game I expect in the 120s at best.
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