College basketball on Tuesday night and we will see the San Jose State Spartans travel to Viejas Arena at Aztec Bowl to take on the San Diego State Aztecs. The game has a start time of 11:00 pm (Eastern) and will be televised on CBSSN. Vegas odds have the Aztecs listed as 21.5 point favorites, while the total Sits at 123.
Analysis: The Spartans come in having a very rough year as they are just 7-19 overall and 1-13 in the MWC. That one MWC win was their last game as they beat Nevada 66-54 on the road. Offense has been a huge problem for the Spartans this year as they come in averaging just 61.8 ppg, which is 329th in the nation, while ranking 350th in shooting, hitting just 37.9% of their shots. Rashad Muhammad leads the offense with 13.6 ppg, while the nly other player to score in double digits for the Spartans is Jaleel Williams, who averages 10.5 ppg. Chris Cunningham is 4th on the team in scoring at 8.2 ppg, while leading the team in rebounding at 6.2 boards per game. On defense the Spartans are average, allowing 70.3 ppg on 42.2% shooting.
San Diego State comes in ranked 13th in the nation, with a 23-3 mark overall and a 12-2 mark within the MWC. The Aztecs have lost their last 2 games played on the road, but this one is at home and they are 13-1 here, outscoring their home foes by an average of 14.1 ppg. the Aztecs are led by their defense as they come in ranked 3rd in the nation in points allowed (56.6 ppg), 7th in defensive FG% (38%) and 6th in 3pt defense (28.5). At home this defense is even scarier, as they have allowed just 53.4 ppg on 35.4% shooting at home this year. With a defense like that it is ok that the Aztecs have a below offense, but im sure that somewhere down the line they will have to core some points. The Aztecs average just 68 ppg on 41.8% shooting for the year. They are led by Xavier Thames (16.7 ppg) and Winston Sheppard 12.4 ppg), who are the only players that average in double figures for the Aztecs. Josh Davis leads the team in rebounding at 10.5 rpg.
Pick: Gonna go with the Under in this game. The San Jose State State offense has been horrible this year and even worse of late as they have averaged just 51.3 ppg in their last 9 games, including just 56 ppg in their last 5 on the road. Now they have to travel to San Diego State, where the Aztecs have allowed a mere 53.4 ppg on 35.4% shooting this year. Very hard to see the Spartans putting up much more than 50 points in this game. The Aztec offense offense is a slow paced offense that works the shot clock for the good shot and I see them being just as deliberate in this one, knowing they won't have to score a ton to win this game. The Aztecs average just 67.5 ppg at home, including just 65 ppg in their last 5 games at home and they will be taking on a San Jose team that has been playing better defense of late, allowing just 57 pg in their last 3 games, which were all vs slow paced teams, like the Aztecs are. San Jose States las 5 games have averaged just 124 ppg, while San Diego State's last 5 have averaged just 117.6 ppg, plus we note that San Diego State's last 5 MWC home games have averaged just 118.3 ppg. The Under is 10-1 in San Jose State's last 11 vs the MWC, while the Under is 23-6 in San Diego State's last 29 games overall. This one will struggle to reach 115 points as the Spartans struggle to reach 45 points. 67-45 sounds about right here
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