Big game in the NFC when the Green Bay Packers pay a visit to the Dallas Cowboys in a must win for both teams. The game will be televised on FOX and has a start time of 4:25 pm (Eastern). Current odds have Dallas listed as 6.5 point favorites, while the total sits at 49.5.
Analysis: The Packers are a half-game behind Detroit and Chicago in the NFC North even though the Packers went more than a month without a win before last week's 22-21 comeback victory against Atlanta. Green Bay is 1-4-1 since QB Aaron Rodgers broke his collarbone and will need QB Matt Flynn to start again, as Rodgers has not been cleared to play for this matchup. Flynn played pretty well in last week's win over the Falcons, completing 24-of-32 passes (75%) for 258 yards, 1 TD and 1 INT. He has taken a beating of late, absorbing 12 sacks in his last 2 games. RB Eddie Lacy (887 rush yards, 3.9 ypc, 7 TD) rolled his ankle in last week's win, but was able to return to the game and appears like he will be able to start on Sunday. Defensively, the Packers have been below average, ranking 25th in the NFL in yards per play allowed (5.7) and rushing defense (123 ypg), while ranking 20th in scoring defense (25.1 ppg allowed). This is the Packers' first game at AT&T Stadium - previously known as Cowboys Stadium - since their Super Bowl win over Pittsburgh in 2011
The Dallas Cowboys are fighting for their playoff lives, as they come in at 7-6 on the year and currently stand 1 game behind the Philadelphia Eagles in the NFC East. Dallas averages just 328 total YPG (22nd in NFL) on offense, but has been able to post a hefty 27.5 PPG (T-3rd in league) because of an excellent red-zone efficiency of converting 71% of its trips into touchdowns (2nd in NFL). Tony Romo has thrown more touchdowns than interceptions in each of his last six games, racking up 12 scores and two picks during that stretch. Romo has been especially good at home where he's thrown for 285 YPG, 14 TD and 4 INT and has led his team to a 5-1 SU record. Dallas is 24th in league in rushing (94 ypg), but has made a concerted effort to pound the football over the past four weeks with 135 rushing ypg on a hefty 5.7 YPC. This Cowboys defense has struggled this year, ranking among the worst in the NFL in total defense (427 ypg), last in passing defense (299 ypg) and last in first downs allowed (24.9 fpg). The all-time regular-season series is deadlocked at 12-12, although Dallas has won 11 of the last 15 matchups.
Pick: Going with the Packers here. They grabbed a big win last week and are still in the chase for a playoff spot. Matt Flynn is getting more comfortable and the Dallas defense is horrendous right now. Green Bay should score enough points to keep this one close.
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