College Football Week 6 continues on Saturday night and we will see the 8th ranked West Virginia Mountaineers travel to the Lone Star State to take on the 11th ranked Texas Longhorns. The game is scheduled for a 7:00 PM (Eastern) start time and it will be televised live on Fox. Currently the odds for the game have Texas favored by 7 points, while the total sits at 73.5. Currently 70% of the Public is on West Virginia, while 78% is on the Over. Find out what side the Public is taking on all the games by clicking HERE.
Free Analysis: WVU is coached by Dana Holgorsen, who is no stranger to the Big 12 after previous stints as offensive coordinator at both Texas Tech and Oklahoma State. West Virginia is 4-0 after taking out Marshall (69-34), James Madison (41-12), Maryland (31-21) and Baylor (70-63). Last week's wild win over the Bears marked the first game the Mountaineers played in the Big 12, and the first of six games the team will play against foes that were, or are now, ranked among the Top-25. Heisman candidate Geno Smith had a field day against the porous BU defense, completing 45-of-51 passes for 656 yards and eight TDs. Smith is off to one of the best starts in NCAA history, passing for 1,748 yards and 20 touchdowns with no interceptions. The senior leads the nation in passing efficiency at 208.4 and has completed an astounding 83 percent of his passes in coach Dana Holgorsen’s offense. Six different receivers went over 100 yards in the Baylor game, including standouts Stedman Bailey and Tavon Austin. Bailey set a new school record with 303 yards and five TDs, while Austin settled for 215 yards and two scores on a team-high 14 receptions. But while the Mountaineers lead the nation in passing yards and rank third in scoring offense, they are 96th in points against, surrendering an average of 32.5. Holgorsen was quick to praise his front seven at a Tuesday press conference while acknowledging that the secondary is young and inexperienced, which has led to some big plays and third-down conversions.
Texas has also won its first four games of the 2012 campaign, getting past Wyoming (37-17), New Mexico (45-0), Ole Miss (66-31) and Oklahoma State (41-36), the last of course occurring last week against a league opponent. The Longhorns are led by coach Mack Brown, who is in his 15th year at the school, and has led them to a 145-39 record, and the 2005 BCS National Championship. Following this clash, UT will have its annual showdown with Oklahoma, and still has tough bouts with Baylor, TCU and Kansas State. While not as explosive as its counterpart in this one, the Texas offense has performed exceptionally well under the direction of sophomore QB David Ash, averaging 47.2 points and 495.8 yards per game. Ash has completed 78.0 percent of his throws for 1,007 yards (251.8 ypg), 10 TDs and only one interception. WR Jaxson Shipley has a team-high 17 receptions for 192 yards and four scores, while Mike Davis has 16 grabs for 243 yards and two TDs. The UT run game features a pair of talented backs in Joe Bergeron and Malcolm Brown, the two combining for 500 yards and eight TDs. On the defensive side the 'Horns are giving up 21 points and 390.2 yards per game, with foes splitting that yardage total rather evenly -- 180.0 ypg, four TDs rushing; 210.2 ypg and five TDs passing.
Free Pick: I like Texas in this one. Sure the WVU offense is nearly unstoppable, but this Texas defense will be the best that they have faced to date. The Longhorns have allowed plenty of points to Ole Miss and Oklahoma State, but I feel that Mac brown will find a way to slow this offense down, not only on defense, but with their offense. The Longhorns possess a very strong offense, but I don’t expect them to play as fast as the Bears did against WVU. I expect them to work the ball down the field with ball control drives and sitting on the sidelines will frustrate smith an company. Both teams can score a ton, but Texas has a huge edge on defense and that should be enough for a TD+ win here.
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