Detroit Lions (odds -3) at Denver Start Time 4:05PM: The Tim Tebow era has arrived. Trailing 15-0 with 5 minutes remaining, he rallied the Broncos to an 18-15 win. There is plenty of value in this line based on Detroit's hot start. Despite losing their last 2, they have still covered the line by a net 32 points this season. At this Thursday writing, Detroit QB Stafford (leg) is expected to start. But their most explosive runner, Best, is doubtful to make post. Favor the clear momentum of the Broncos at what remains a value price.
Indianapolis at Tennessee (odds -9) Start Time1:00PM: Each of these teams come off blow out losses last week. The Titans were embarrassed at home by Houston 41-7 in a game that saw the Texans out gain Tennessee 518/148, out chain them 29/11, and out clock them 37-22. The final could have actually been worse, but that was nothing compared to what happened hours later in front of an SNF TV audience. The Colts lost 62-7 at New Orleans. The Saints had yardage edges of 557-252, won the chains 36-11, the clock 38-21 and where +3 in net turnovers. Now the Colts must play their third consecutive road game. They are a team that is every bit as bad as their 0-7 SU record. They are outgained 416-280 and outscored by an average of 32-16. Yet it is difficult to lay this number with a Tennessee team who has a ground game averaging just 64/3.0 and is scoring only an average of 19 PPG. QB Painter continues to make strides. In the last 4 weeks he has completed over 70% of his passes with an 11/0 ratio good for 275 PYPG. With injured QB Manning in his ear, expect the back door to be wide open for the Colts today.
Jacksonville at Houston (odds -9 ½) Start Time1:00PM: Never easy to back an NFL team in this price range who must surely be a bit complacent following that 41-7 victory at Tennessee. But the difference between this season’s high scoring Houston team and that of recent years is a DC Phillips defense. This unit is allowing less than 100 yards overland, only 53% completions, and only 303 yards. With the expected return of WR Johnson it gives extra impetus to this 400 yard offense. The Jags saved their coach’s season with an emotional 12-7 MNF victory vs Baltimore. It’s unlikely, however, that they carry that emotion over to today’s game. The only thing they do remotely well will be shutdown by that Houston defensive front. Remember, this is a team that averages on y 12 pts and 252 yards per game on a league low 4.3 yards/OFF YPPL. The Houston defense which has recorded 19 sacks will pressure rookie QB Gabbert all day as he operates behind an OL that has allowed 21 sacks.
Free Picks: Lions at Broncos Betting- Tim Tebow seriously overrated and Lions to light up Broncos secondary PLUS other factors NFL bettors need to know about Lions at Broncos (Sunday, October 30, 2011) from Pregame.com - Including predictions from Stephen Nover and analysis from host Marco D'Angelo.