Green Bay Packers (odds -3) at Minnesota Vikings Start Time 4:14PM: QB Christian Ponder has been named the starter for this game. That's quite an assignment when facing the defending champs who enter at 6-0, 5-1 ATS +32 AFP.  Be assured that hot start has found its way into this line.  Also be assured that the proud Vikings are looking for the bounce after being embarrassed on SNF by the Bears.  In that contest they were outrushed 119-53 and out sacked 5-1. Those numbers are quite opposite from the profile the Vikings presented during their first five games. It will take a huge emotional effort to stay within range of the defending champs. Yet that is exactly what is expected against the Green Bay team who will surely have trouble brining their A game after a sleepwalking 24-3 victory against lowly St. Louis last week.  Free NFL pick: These are the situations from which upsets are born. 

Denver Broncos vs Miami Dolphins (-1) 1:00PM: 
It was over 30 years ago that this Miami franchise completed the last NFL undefeated season.  At 0-5 SU, 1-4 ATS, this team looks like they could well go winless.  At least that would be ones opinion if they saw the offensive egg they laid on MNF in a 24-6 loss to the Jets.  In his first outing replacing injured starter QB Henne, Moore was just 16-34-2.  The OL is not protecting allowing 18 sacks.  The Achilles heel on the defensive side of the ball is a secondary that allows 8.3 DYPA.  And remember, this field has been the weakest in the NFL.  Under HC Sparano, they are 5-18 ATS including 0-2 ATS this year.  With the benefit of a bye, the 1-4 SU Broncos opted for a change at the signal callers spot.  Former starter QB Orton had recorded wins in just 6 of his last 28 starts.  Enter QB Tebow who may have much of the Florida crowd on his side.  In a game where the home field crowd may actually favor the visitor, this is as good a spot as Tebow can have for a road opener.  Broncos the right side in this one. 

Movie Free Picks: Steelers at Cardinals Betting- How to handicap familiarity between coaches and Are Steelers actually under valued plus other factors NFL bettors need to know about Steelers at Cardinals (Sunday, October 23, 2011) from Pregame.com - Including predictions from Marco D'Angelo and analysis from host RJ Bell.