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Stories

Sports news with a Vegas perspective.

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  • Created On:
    09/07/2011 10:47 PM
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    Yesterday - 9:57 AM

Sweet 16 Odds from Las Vegas

16 NCAA basketball teams have won two games to reach the Sweet 16. In order to "cut down the nets" and be crowned NCAA Tournament champions, a team has two win four more games, starting on Thursday and Friday.

Odds to win NCAA Tournament:

Kansas: 22% ($100 wins $300)
Ohio State: 21% ($100 wins $325)
Duke: 18% ($100 wins $385)
Florida: 6% ($100 wins $1500)
San Diego St: 5% ($100 wins $1600)
Kentucky: 4.5% ($100 wins $1700)
U Conn: 4% ($100 wins 1800)
Wisconsin: 4% ($100 wins $1800)
North Carolina: 4% ($100 wins $1900)
BYU: 2.5% ($100 wins $3200)
Florida State: 2% ($100 wins $4000)
Butler: 2% ($100 wins $4200)
VCU: 1.5% ($100 wins $6000)
Arizona: 1.3% ($100 wins $6500)
Marquette: 1.2% ($100 wins $7200)
Richmond: 1% ($100 wins $8500)

The three remaining #1 seeds - Kansas, OSU, and Duke - have a combined 60% chance of winning tourney.

The bottom 6 teams have a combined 9% chance.

No chance for Richmond?

Of the last 208 Elite Eight teams over the last 26 years, only ONE has been seeded worse than #11. That history tells us that #12 Richmond doesn’t stand much of chance of advancing.

Double Digit Favorites have won 14 of 14 games this tournament (Kansas is favored by 10.5 vs. Richmond).

VCU dominate:

VCU has covered the point spread by a combined 51 points in two games!

Perfect Bracket:


After 48 games, there are over 281 quadrillion possible bracket combinations. That’s 281 followed by twelve zeros. That’s one million times bigger than 281 million.

Using Las Vegas odds to determine the likelihood of each game outcome, the odds against picking all 48 winners so far is over 84 TRILLION to 1 against. A big number for sure, but 3,314 times MORE LIKELY than simply picking randomly.

  • Straight Outta Vegas ...

RJ Bell is the founder of Pregame.com – a two-time INC. 5000 company, as well as the largest American digital media organization covering Las Vegas news and odds. Pregame is the exclusive odds provider... Read more

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