Miami Heat at Chicago Bulls Preview (2/24/2011)


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Miami Heat at Chicago Bulls Preview (2/24/2011)

Miami Heat at Chicago Bulls Preview:

HEAT: (-2, O/U 191) Miami might have started the season slowly, but no team is hotter entering the 2nd half of the year. Miami is tied with Boston for the best record in the Eastern Conference. The Heat are 42-15 SU and 29-27-1 ATS overall this season. Miami is an impressive 21-10 SU and 18-12 ATS in road games this year. The Heat were expected to struggle on the road this year, but that hasn't turned out to be the case. Miami is just 1-3 ATS as a road favorite of 3 PTS or fewer this season. The Heat are certainly looking forward to this game, considering they lost earlier this season to Chicago. F LeBron James has been dynamic this season, as he's having his finest all around season of his career. James is averaging a team high 26.2 PPG and 7.2 APG this season, in addition to 7.4 RPG. F Chris Cosh is averaging 18.6 PPG and 8.1 RPG this year. The Heat are 13-4-1 ATS in their last 18 games playing on 1 days rest. Miami is 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 road games against a team with a home winning percentage greater than .600%. The Heat are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall. Miami is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games.

Heat are 5-1 ATS last 6 road games against a team with a winning home record.

Over is 10-3 last 13 road games.

F Mike Miller (eye) is out.

BULLS: Chicago has an opportunity for a statement win tonight against the Miami Heat. The Bulls have already beaten the Heat once this year, and they'd love to do so again. Chicago is almost completely healthy, with the return of C Joakim Noah. The Bulls are 38-16 SU and 32-20-2 ATS overall this year. Chicago is an impressive 25-4 SU at home this season. Despite their strong SU home record, Chicago is just 12-17 ATS at home this season. Chicago is 9-4 ATS as the listed underdog this year, including 3-0 ATS as a home underdog of 3 PTS or fewer. PG Derrick Rose is having an MVP caliber season, as he leads the Bulls with 24.9 PPG and 8.2 APG. F Carlos Boozer is averaging 19.3 PPG and 9.9 RPG this year. F Luol Deng is also having a great season for Chicago, as he's averaging 17.7 PPG. The Bulls are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600%. Chicago is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games. Chicago is 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 home games.

Bulls are 4-0 ATS last 4 games against the Eastern Conference.

Over is 4-1 last 5 games overall.

C Joakim Noah (thumb) is probable.

Projected Score: Heat 98, Bulls 89

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CONVERSATION: What's your take on this game?

  • Love love love the UNDER in this game tonight. Rematch (Rematches tend to go under). CHI allowed TOR to shoot 58% last night. MIA shot 56% 2 nights ago (regression). The primary ref is a big time under ref over the last 5 yrs, and the 2 other refs are also under refs this yr.

  • Mike agree with your write up here, I think Miami have revenge on their mind and although Chicago are not as bad as what they were last night losing to Toronto, the re-injection of Noah will take some time to work him back into the chemistry of the offense. I like the heat to win tonight!

  • Very first bet Moachist made late last night was Bulls +2.5.  Loved it.  Midwest Bias possibly....

    If it continues to climb, moachist will make a small, small play on the Bulls ML.  No thought on total other than VERY small lean to over.

  • How is Chicago 4-0 ATS last 4 when they just lost outright to Tornoto last night?

  • Neither win an NBA title this season, but I like the running LeBron's tonight.

  • I have the line even.

  • Heat are the sexy team, Bulls are undervalued IMO.