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576 Portland 13.0 (-110) Sportsbook vs 575 St. Mary's (Cal.)
dime bet
Analysis:This one is more of a situational play than anything as I have the game power-rated at St. Mary's -11.5. However, St. Mary's is playing their 2nd road game in a 3-game road stretch with a monster game at unbeaten Gonzaga on deck on Saturday. So there is potential for lookahead in the second half. While St. Mary's is an impressive 14-1, they've benefited from playing the No. 257 overall schedule. This game also has a striking resemblance to last year where St. Mary's had Gonzaga on deck and only beat Portland 74-72. I also like that we're buying Portland low here. Portland is off their worst shooting % game of the entire season as they made only 30% of their shots vs Santa Clara including only 23% from 3-point range. On the season they're a Top 40 team in 3-point FG % at 39.4% and a much better performance in that department tonight should keep them in striking distance.Pick Made: Jan 12 2017 11:26AM PST
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