It’s only Tuesday and it’s already a Wild Week for the Bills. They canned Rex Ryan and Rob Ryan and are going with EJ Manuel at QB this week. So my Top Dog (Speedee) will close the regular season by joining his master in another AFC East Division UNDER (like our first play). This would be a PASS if it was IN Buffalo (8-0 O/U at home TY!). But it’s not. It’s another one of those DIVISIONAL rematches (on the road) that went OVER in the first meeting. So that means we Go LOW in the second meeting.
And that also means we ride a variation of the same situation as our first two plays:
6-21-1 O/U last 2 years: All DIVISION road favorites of > 3 pts (Bills) when the OU line is < 48 points.
The host Jets come off an UGLY game against New England, in which they scored only 3 points and allowed 41 points.
0-11 O/U since 2000: All HOME teams off SU division road loss in which they scored 3 < pts and allowed > 24 pts (Jets) when the OU line is > 36 points.
On the flip side, the traveling Bills are off an unexpected home division SHOOTOUT against the Miami Dolphins. In fact,they lost by the EXACT same score (34 to 31) as the Seattle Seahawks (above).
2-14 O/U last 5 years: All NFL road teams off a DIVISION home game in which they scored AND allowed 31 > points (Bills).
Both of these teams are UNDER .500 for the year. So we close the querying with this:
NFL GAME 16’s have gone 1-10 O/U in the last 4 years when BOTH teams (Bills + Jets) are < .500 on the year... and the OU lime is > 39 points.