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2 NYI 1.5 (-200) Pinnacle vs 1 PIT
dime bet
Analysis:
I'm playing NY on the puck-line (+1.5 goals ) With the Pens listed as mid-sized favorites on the moneyline, we're able to get an extra +1.5 goals with the Isles at a "relatively" reasonable price. Obviously, the price is still quite steep - but not nearly so much, when factoring in the value of an extra +1.5 goals. These teams just faced each other here on 11/18. The Pens won by a 3-2 score. That makes it three of the last five meetings which were decided by a single goal. While the Pens did win last time out, that victory (4-3) came by only a goal. They've only won one of their past seven games by more than a goal. Note that Pitt. is a money-burning 34-37 (-16.8) the past couple of seasons, vs. the money-line, after scoring four or more goals in its previous game. Its also worth mentioning that their an ugly 74-96 (-47.9) the past 170 times that they played with three or more day's rest in between games, most recently losing 7-1 at Washington. The Isles got back on track with a 2-1 win last time out. That marked the fourth time in their past five games that the final score was decided by a single goal. I'm expecting at least another "cover" tonight.
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