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516 OKL / 515 HOU Over 217.0 Pinnacle
double-dime bet
Analysis:
I'm playing on Houston and OKC to finish OVER the total. The Rockets have been on an 'under' streak. However, with Harden and Westbrook going head-to-head, I expect that to change tonight. All three 2016 meetings (all from last season) produced a minimum of 218 combined points. Those games had final combined scores of 228, 218 and 224. All three had O/U lines in the 220s, too. So, although tonight's line may initially seem high, it could actually easily be even higher. OKC has been playing considerably higher-scoring games at home than on the road, so far. The Thunder are both scoring more and allowing more on their home floor. The opposite is true of Houston. The Rockets are both scoring more and allowing more on the road. Their road games are already averaging 218.9. Facing another explosive team, I expect them to exceed that average tonight.
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