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14 MIN (-175) Pinnacle vs 13 TOR
dime bet
Analysis:
I'm playing on MINNESOTA. The Wild have dominated the Leafs over the years and they should have the edge again tonight. The Leafs are off a hard-fought and potentially deflating loss last night; they took a 4-1 lead into the third period only to give up the tying goal in the final minute and then to lose in OT. They're only 12-22 (-4.8) the past 2+ seasons, when playing the second of b2b games, and last night's figures to take more of a toll than some others probably did. While the price may initially seem a little steep, consider that the Wild were laying -235 the last time these teams faced each other - and that was at Toronto. They were -240 the last meeting here at Minnesota. The Wild won both those games, limiting the Leafs to a single goal in the two games combined. Knowing the hit the road for awhile after this, the Wild will be hungry to take care of business. They're already 2-0 here, scoring 10 goals in the process. They'll be licking their chops the prospect of facing a Toronto team which has allowed 10 goals in losing its two road games. With the Leafs now at 13-44 (-25) the past 2+ seasons, when playing a road game with an O/U line of 5.5, I'm laying the wood with the rested home team.
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