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962 WAS / 961 LOS Under 7 Pinnacle
double-dime bet
Analysis:
Los Angeles will play Game 5 in Washington on Thursday night. The Dodgers will start Rich Hill who has an excellent 2.35 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in his 21 starts this season with a 136/35 strikeout/walk ratio, including an incredible 1.83 ERA and 0.79 WHIP since joining the Dodgers two months ago. Hill also has a 2.31 ERA and 0.95 WHIP in his 11 road starts this year. My numbers project Hill to give up just 2.0 runs with a 3.29 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP in this game. Hill is also projected to have an incredible 10.6 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 3.2 strikeout/walk ratio against the Nationals tonight. He is backed by a Los Angeles bullpen that has a 3.35 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in all games this season.Washington will send their ace Max Scherzer to the mound tonight. He has a 3.03 ERA and an excellent 0.96 WHIP in his 35 starts this season with a 289/56 strikeout/walk ratio. At home, Scherzer has a 2.75 ERA and 0.93 WHIP with a 139/24 K/BB ratio. My numbers project another strong outing for Scherzer; he is slated to give up just 2.2 runs with a 3.03 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP in this game. Scherzer also projects to have a strong 11.7 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and an incredible 5.5 strikeout/walk ratio against the Dodgers. He is backed by a Washington bullpen that has a 3.06 ERA and 1.07 WHIP at home this year, converting 89% of their save opportunities. The Dodgers' offense is averaging just 2.7 runs with a .196 batting average during their past seven games. Look for a low-scoring NLDS Game 5 between the Dodgers and Nationals on Thursday night.
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