Analysis:Browns +10.5 or better.
This number might even be a little light if The Patriots were a well oiled machine in mid-season form but they are not. They were just shutout last week and now Tom Brady is back, making his first start - playing in an NFL game for the first time since last January. Gronkowski and Edelman are a little banged up but I expect them both to be popular targets or Brady today because he has the most familiarity with these two receivers. I don't think New England will automatically switch into the powerhouse many expect them to be in one fell swoop of getting their starting quarterback back from suspension. Even if this was not the case, laying double digits on the road in the NFL is not a very successful practice.
Meanwhile, The Cleveland Browns are not as bad as they might seem. They really only played one poor game and that was the opener with RGIII against The Eagles. They should have beaten Baltimore, Miami, and Washington last week but they fact that they have lost these games, I believe gives us value in the line - that combined with the reaction to Brady coming back.
Over 80% of the tickets on this game are on The Patriots and yet the line has hung tough at 10.5 and as of post time, has actually now gone down to 10.
The Browns may find a way to lose again but I think they definitely hang within the number.
Pick Made: Oct 6 2016 9:31PM PST