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967 BAL (+125) Pinnacle vs 968 TOR
dime bet
Analysis:We faded Sanchez in his last outing at Seattle successfully, and will do so again. The Jays have lost the last three of his starts and his ERA over the last 7 starts is 4.54, which I attribute to the fact that he's pitched twice as many innings this season than he ever has in any one season - and he's very young. He beat the O's in his last start against them a month ago, and we like to go the other way in the next matchup. This will be the 5th time Baltimore has seen him this season - so they know full well what to expect. Gausman was just shelled by Boston, but that was the second time he'd faced them in a week - again, we go the other way the return matchup. He shutout Boston on four hits the previous game, in Fenway. Baltimore is 5-2 in his last seven starts, he's 5-1. The Orioles bullpen has an ERA of 0.64 and a WHIP of 0.70 over the last week, which includes games against Arizona, who can hit, and Boston. Toronto lost to the Yankees yesterday, Baltimore rested. At plus-money, I'll take my chances.Pick Made: Sep 27 2016 4:50AM PST
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From Dave Essler
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