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970 DET (-135) Pinnacle vs 969 KAN
double-dime bet
Analysis:Kansas City will begin a 3-game series in Detroit against the Tigers on Friday night. The Royals will send Danny Duffy to the mound who has already faced Detroit six times this season (4 starts, 2 relief) so the Tigers' hitters will be very familiar. Duffy has allowed 15 earned runs in just 26.2 innings this season versus Detroit for a poor 5.06 ERA. My numbers project another poor outing for Duffy against Detroit’s lineup tonight. The southpaw projects to give up 2.9 earned runs with a poor 4.45 ERA in this game. Duffy has been roughed-up by Detroit’s lineup in the past. The Tigers have a solid .711 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against Duffy after scoring 22 runs with 15 of their 42 hits against him going for extra bases. The Tigers have hit 8 home runs against Duffy during his career. Detroit enters tonight with four straight wins, scoring 30 during that span (7.5 runs per game).Detroit will start Mike Fulmer who has a solid 3.03 ERA and 1.08 WHIP and 17-7 SU team record in his 24 starts this season, including an excellent 2.90 ERA and 0.97 WHIP at home. Fulmer projects to have a fantastic outing against Kansas City’s lineup based on my numbers. He is slated to give up just 2.3 earned runs with a 3.41 ERA and a strong 1.21 WHIP in this game. Fulmer also projects to have a 7.5 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a terrific 3.5 strikeout/walk ratio tonight. The right-hander has had success against Kansas City’s lineup in the past. The Royals have hit just .240 (18-for-75) with a poor .656 OPS against Fulmer during his career. Kansas City has been a weaker offensive team versus right-handed pitchers this season, averaging just 4.1 runs per nine-innings with a .252 batting average, compared to 4.5 runs and .271 versus LHP. We’ll back Detroit with Fulmer on the mound in this game on Friday night.
2* Play TIGERS (-).
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