Analysis:
7:30pm ET / 4:30pm PT / #155
NORTH TEXAS EAGLES @ FLORIDA GATORS
1* Play on: OVER THE TOTAL
*Optimum OU line: 50 or less points
Game Two takes us down here to our gorgeous Sunshine State as the SEC Florida Gators host the North Texas Eagles. The game doesn’t figure to be too gorgeous however. Not with Florida favored by a massive -36 points in this game…. while the OU line is still a LOW (for College) 50 points. Both of these teams are pretty strong OVER teams in the first month of the season. Gators: 8-2-1 O/U in September… Eagles: 8-2 O/U in September. Florida’s offense finally BROKE THROUGH against Kentucky last week. They snapped a string last week of 10 straight games scoring UNDER 30 points with a 45-point outburst. The Gators gained 564 yards of offense, their most in an SEC game since 2001. Just what the (OVER) Doctor ordered. On the flip side, all we basically need from the traveling Eagles for our OVER to cash is slightly more than ONE touchdown. And besides, College Football BIG favorites of -35 or more points (FLORIDA)… with a ‘short’ OU line of 50 < points…. have gone OVER the Total 83% of the time in the last six seasons.
The OU line in this game opened at 49.5 points. As of Friday afternoon, it has risen to 50 points. Based on the current spread and OU line, the predicted final score is: Florida 43 - NorthTexas 7.
Our College Football database simulations and models differ significantly. The average projected score that comes up is:
FLORIDA GATORS 45 - NORTH TEXAS EAGLES 10
That’s 4.5 to 5 points HIGHER than the current OU line, Any play that’s 4 to 6.5 points higher or lower than the current OU line triggers a q* Play on our service.
Pick Made: Sep 16 2016 10:17AM PST