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962 ARI (-156) 5Dimes vs 961 COL
double-dime bet
Analysis:Arizona won 12-9 last night, and we expect another home win by the Diamondbacks on Tuesday night. Colorado will send Jorge De La Rosa to the mound who has a terrible 5.26 ERA and 1.65 WHIP this season in his 22 starts, including a 5.40 ERA and 1.68 WHIP in 11 road starts. My numbers project another poor outing for the southpaw against Arizona’s lineup. De La Rosa projects to give up 2.7 earned runs with a poor 4.36 ERA and a weak 1.47 WHIP in this game. He has been roughed-up by Arizona’s lineup in the past. The Diamondbacks have hit .298 (39-for-131) with an outstanding .892 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against De La Rosa during his career. Arizona has been much stronger offensive team at home this season versus left-handed pitchers, averaging 6.5 runs per nine innings with a .284 batting average, compared to just 4.5 runs and .256 versus RHP.
Arizona will start Robbie Ray who projects to have a fantastic outing against Colorado’s lineup based on my numbers. Ray is slated to give up just 2.0 earned runs with a terrific 3.09 ERA and an excellent 1.17 WHIP tonight. Ray also projects to have a strong 10.0 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 3.3 strikeout/walk ratio in this game. The Rockies have been a much weaker offensive team on the road this season versus left-handed pitchers, averaging just 3.7 runs per nine innings with a .219 batting average, compared to 4.5 runs and .251 versus RHP. We’ll back Arizona with Ray on the mound in this game on Tuesday night.
2* Play DIAMONDBACKS (-).
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