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928 ANA / 927 SEA Under 9 Sportsbook
double-dime bet
Analysis:Seattle will begin a 3-game series in Los Angeles against the Angels on Monday night. The Mariners will start Ariel Miranda who projects to have a solid outing in this game. He enters off back-to-back wins versus the Angels and Rangers, allowing just 4 earned runs and only 8 hits in 12 innings for a strong 3.00 ERA and 1.17 WHIP. My numbers project Miranda to give up 2.3 runs tonight. Miranda has had tremendous success against the Los Angeles lineup in the past. The Angels have only hit .216 (8-for-37) with a .739 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against the southpaw during his career. Los Angeles has been a weaker offensive team at home this season versus left-handed pitchers, averaging just 4.2 runs per nine innings with a .235 batting average, compared to 4.5 runs and .263 versus RHP. The Angels' offense enters this game in poor current form, going 4-1 Under in their past five games while averaging just 2.3 runs per game.Los Angeles will send Ricky Nolasco to the mound tonight. My numbers project a strong outing for Nolasco; he is slated to give up 2.5 runs with a solid 3.68 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP in this game. Nolasco also projects to have a 7.0 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 3.0 strikeout/walk ratio against the Mariners. Nolasco is in good current form, allowing just 3 earned runs and only 6 hits in his past two starts (16 innings pitched) with an excellent 1.69 ERA and 0.50 WHIP during that span. Look for a low-scoring game between the Mariners and Angels on Monday night.
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