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966 NYY / 965 BAL Over 9.5 Pinnacle
double-dime bet
Analysis:Baltimore will begin a 3-game series in New York against the Yankees on Friday night. The Orioles will start Yovani Gallardo who has a weak 5.08 ERA and 1.59 WHIP in his 17 starts this season, including a terrible 6.14 ERA and 1.66 WHIP in his 10 road starts. My numbers project Gallardo to get hit hard by the Yankees in this game. He is slated to give up 2.9 earned runs with a poor 4.87 ERA and a terrible 1.57 WHIP tonight. Gallardo has been roughed-up by New York’s lineup in the past. The Yankees have hit a respectable .285 (43-for-151) with a .795 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against Gallardo during his career. The Yankees' offense enters in solid current form, having scored at least 5+ runs in six of their past eight games.
New York will send Luis Cessa to the mound tonight. My numbers project a rough outing for Cessa in this game. He is slated to give up 2.8 runs with an awful 5.07 ERA and a weak 1.40 WHIP this evening. Cessa will be making his second spot start out of the bullpen in this game. In his last outing, he held a weak Angels' offense to zero runs on just 3 hits in 6 innings of work. But Cessa will now take a major step-up in class tonight against a Baltimore offense that leads the Majors in home runs (197) and enters in solid current form, having scored 48 runs in their past eight games (6.0 runs per game). Cessa struggled in his other eight appearances this season with a 5.30 ERA, allowing 12 runs (11 earned) in just 18.2 innings of work. The Orioles have been a stronger offensive team against right-handed pitchers this season, averaging 5.0 runs per nine innings with a .269 batting average, compared to just 4.3 runs and .229 versus LHP. Look for a high-scoring game between the Orioles and Yankees on Friday night.
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