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958 ATL / 957 WAS Over 9 Pinnacle
double-dime bet
Analysis:Washington will begin a 4-game series in Atlanta on Thursday night. The Nationals will send Reynaldo Lopez to the mound and my numbers project a rough outing for the young right-hander in this game. He is slated to give up 2.4 runs with a mediocre 3.80 ERA tonight. Lopez will be making just his fourth Major League start; his last was a 7-6 win over the Braves just five days ago. In his three starts overall, Lopez has allowed 10 earned runs on 19 hits in just 15.2 innings of work while earning a horrendous 5.74 ERA and an ugly 1.72 WHIP. The Braves' offense has begun to play better this month, averaging 4.6 runs in their past eleven games while going 7-4 to the Over.Atlanta will start Robert Whalen in this game. My numbers project Whalen to get hit hard by the Nationals tonight. Whalen is slated to give up 2.6 earned runs with a terrible 4.50 ERA and a poor 1.47 WHIP in this game. Whalen is also projected to have a lowly 1.9 strikeout/walk ratio against the Nationals this evening. In his last outing, Whalen gave up 6 earned runs on 6 hits in just 5 innings pitched against the Nationals last Saturday night. Whalen has allowed 13 earned runs in just 16 innings of work this season while earning a horrendous 7.31 ERA. He is backed by a weak Atlanta bullpen that has a 4.55 ERA and 1.53 WHIP at home this season. Washington's offense enters in excellent current form, averaging 6.4 runs and batting .296 during their past seven games while going 5-2 to the Over. Look for a high-scoring game between the Nationals and Braves on Thursday night.
2* Play OVER the total.
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