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920 TAM (-168) Pinnacle vs 919 SDP
double-dime bet
Analysis:
I'm playing on TAMPA. I won with the Rays yesterday. While they're obviously a lot more expensive today, I'm coming right back with them. Tampa is 3-0 the last three times that Smyly took the mound. He's 2-0 with a 2.84 in those games. In his last home start, while he didn't factor in the decision, Smyly recorded 10 K's against a single walk, allowing two runs through seven complete innings. A 1.049 WHIP at home, along with 70 K's against 15 walks, shows that he's been far better than his home record suggests.
The Rays rewarded Smyly with some well-deserved run support in his last start, as they scored nine runs against the Jays. Off yesterday's 12-run outburst and facing struggling Perdomo, Smyly should benefit from some decent run support again here. Perdomo has an ugly 1.623 ERA and 1.961 WHIP in his last three starts. For the season, he's got a 5.74 ERA and 1.679 WHIP. Look for Smyly to get the better of Perdomo, the Rays grabbing Game 1.
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