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461 NYJ -3.0 (-115) Pinnacle vs 462 HOU
dime bet
Analysis:
New York comes into this game in desperate need of a win, so we know they’ll bring their best effort. The Jets have lost three of their last four games, but two of the losses were close and the other is easily excusable. New York lost at New England and out in Oakland the following week when quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick got hurt on the opening possession. Their most recent loss came on a Thursday night when they couldn’t score from the 5-yard line with time winding down. New York will be primed for a big effort in this game, especially since they have extra rest while facing a Texans team on short rest. The Jets will have a big edge on the ground in this game, especially since Houston gives up 118 rushing yards per game on 4.3 yards per rush. The Jets average 117 yards on the ground per game on 4.0 yards per rush, so the match-up is perfect for New York.
Houston comes into this game off an outright win as 10-point underdogs in Cincinnati on Monday night. The Texans went into that game off their bye, and they handed the Bengals their first loss of the season, and did so with their backup quarterback. T.J. Yates came in when Brian Hoyer left with a concussion, and he played mistake-free football. But in the starting role this week, Yates doesn’t figure to play as well, especially against a stout New York defense. The Jets are only allowing 20.4 points per game on 5.2 yards per play versus offenses that are averaging 23.8 points per game on 5.7 yards per play. New York is the better team in a focused spot while catching Houston at the perfect time, so we’ll lay the points with the Jets in this game on Sunday afternoon.
1* Play JETS (-).
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