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465 TAM 6.0 (-110) 5Dimes vs 466 PHI
double-dime bet
Analysis:2** TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS plus the points versus Philadelphia Eagles1:00pm ET / 10:00am PT / #466Now that we are past the halfway point of the season, our databases have a lot more meat in them. Over the last three weeks, we've paid more attention to the strong ATS patterns that have emerged THIS season. Last week, the target was the KC CHIEFS over the Denver Broncos. With that fairly easy result, we can confidently move on. This week, the 'play ON' target is the TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS. Quite simply, we want to ride confident underdogs playing off a win against favorites who are a little unsure about themselves off a game that they were expected to win, but didn't. 17-6-1 ATS this season: All underdogs off a SU win (TAMPA BAY) versus any opponent off a SU loss (Philadelphia). The Bucs are off a home win against Dallas. And Philly is off a home loss against the Dolphins. In the last five weeks, these teams have gone 9-1 ATS (90%). There is ANOTHER team on Sunday that qualifies in this same situation. That team is the Houston Texans (home dogs vs NY Jets).In last week's game, the Eagles were mid-ranged home favorites to the Miami Dolphins. They got out to a huge 2-TD lead, but they ended up losing 20-19. So how do teams react to such a loss in their next game?0-9-1 ATS since 2008: All non-division home favorites > 2 pts off a SU non-division home FAV loss (Eagles).Up next for the Eagles is a Thursday Turkey Day game against the Detroit Lions. Will that upcoming road game be on their minds?1-13 ATS since 1994: All non-division favorites > 5 points BEFORE playing a Thursday ROAD game... and playing off a SU loss (Eagles).The Bucs are on a nice 4-1 ATS run since their Bye Week. We were ON 'em three weeks against the Falcons (+8 points). They came away with an outright road dog win. They also won as a home dog last week against the Cowboys. Final score in that low-scoring win was 10 to 6.14-2-3 ATS since 2006: All non-division underdogs of 8 < points off a SU home DOG win in which they scored 17 or less points (BUCCANEERS). In the last six seasons, these teams have gone an ATS-perfect 8-0-2 ATS.Pick Made: Nov 20 2015 9:29PM PST
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