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904 PHI / 903 NYM Over 8.5 Pinnacle
double-dime bet
Analysis:
Philadelphia will host the New York Mets for a 3-game series beginning on Tuesday night. The Phillies will start David Buchanan who is 2-9 with an atrocious 7.96 ERA and a woeful 1.94 WHIP in his 13 starts this season. Buchanan has been terrible at home where he owns an ugly 6.87 ERA and 1.75 WHIP in seven starts. He also comes into this game in poor current form; he has allowed 22 hits and 8 runs in his last 14.1 innings of work. Buchanan was shelled by the Mets in New York back on April 14th; he gave up 5 earned runs on 9 hits in just 5.2 innings of work in a 6-5 loss. Philadelphia’s bullpen has 22 losses and 14 blown saves on the season with a weak 3.89 ERA and 1.46 WHIP, so Buchanan has little support on the backend tonight. The Mets’ offense is in excellent current form as they've gone a perfect 6-0 to the Over in their past six games and were particularly strong in their past four-game series at Cincinnati in which they scored 36 runs (9.0 runs per game) while batting over .300 as a team.New York will start Bartolo Colon who is 7-7 with a poor 4.48 ERA in his 15 road starts this season. Colon has made 13 career starts against the Phillies with 10 of those games going Over the total. Philadelphia’s offense appears to be heating up after a strong weekend series in Washington in which the Phillies scored 21 runs in three games (7.0 runs per game). The Phillies have gone 42-26 to the Over at home this season and 67-46 Over in all games against right-handed starters. These two teams are 10-6 to the Over in 16 meetings this season, including 5-2 to the Over at Philadelphia. High-scoring games have been the norm between Philadelphia and New York for several seasons now as they have gone 34-20 to the Over in the last 54 meetings, including 18-8 to the Over in the past 26 meetings in Philadelphia. Look for another high-scoring game between the Mets and Phillies on Tuesday night.2* Play OVER the total (Mets/Phillies).
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