Analysis:
UNDER the TOTAL
Cin Bengals @ Balt Ravens
1:00pm ET - 10:00am PT
Baltimore finds themselves in a similar situation as Seattle (also one of our three UNDERS). A 2014 PLAYOFF team who has started the season with back-to-back losses.
4-19 O/U since 2007: All GAME 12 < home favorites off BB SUATS road losses (Ravens). These teams have gone 1-10 O/U when the OU line is 44 > pts (check line).
In their Sunday SHOOTOUT loss to Oakland, the score was 37 to 34.
1-9 O/U since 2009: All NFL favorites off a SU non-division road game in which they scored AND allowed 33 > pts (Ravens) when the OU line is < 47 points.
Sunday’s home game for Baltimore starts a stretch of 3 STRAIGHT division games.
15-42 O/U since 2004 (74% Unders): All teams in the FIRST of 3 straight DIVISION games (Ravens) when the OU line is in the range of > 41 pts and < 49 pts. We also note that home FAVORITES in this situation (like Baltimore) have gone 1-9 O/U (90% Unders).
Let’s not forget that the visiting Bengals were the League’s BEST road ‘UNDER’ team last year (1-7 O/U / 37.4 ppg)... while Baltimore was one of the BEST home ‘UNDER’ teams (2-6 O/U / 39.0).
This has historically been a great division to go UNDER the Total over the years.
AFC NORTH DIVISION games (Cincy @ Baltimore) have gone 7-23-2 O/U since 2006 when the OU line is 43 > points... including 2-10 O/U in the 1st half of the season.
Pick Made: Sep 25 2015 3:04PM PST