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910 COL / 909 PIT Over 11 Pinnacle
double-dime bet
Analysis:
Colorado will host Pittsburgh on Wednesday night. The Rockies will start Christian Bergman who will be making just his second start of the season. Bergman only lasted four innings in San Francisco in his first outing; he gave up 4 hits in that game. Overall, Bergman owns a 3.81 ERA in 27 games with Colorado this season. Pittsburgh’s offense comes into this game in good current form; they’ve scored 15 runs in the first two games of this series so far. Pittsburgh is hitting .280 while averaging 4.6 runs per game in their last seven games overall. Bergman won’t be able to go deep in this game, and that means a poor Colorado bullpen will pitch the majority of the innings. The Rockies’ bullpen owns a terrible 5.03 ERA and 1.51 WHIP with 17 losses and 11 blown saves at home this season, so Bergman has little support on the backend.
Pittsburgh will start Charlie Morton in this game. Morton is 3-5 with a horrendous 5.17 ERA in ten road starts for the Pirates this season. Morton gave up 5 runs and 6 hits in 6 innings pitched at home to Colorado back on August 30th. In a start in Coors Field last season, Morton gave up 8 earned runs on 10 hits in 7 innings of work. Carlos Gonzalez (6-18), DJ LeMahieu (3-8), and Wilin Rosario (2-6) have had the most success versus Morton. Colorado is hitting .301 while averaging 5.4 runs per game at home this season. The Rockies have scored 27 total runs in their last five games, so their offense comes into this game in good current form. We expect a high-scoring game between the Pirates and Rockies on Wednesday night.
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