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488 DAL / 487 NYG Over 51.0 Pinnacle
double-dime bet
Analysis:Sunday, Sept. 13th / #487 / 8:30pm ET - 5:30pm PTNEW YORK GIANTS @ DALLAS COWBOYS2** Play on: OVER THE TOTALRemember, we always want to play our nationally televised OVERS as soon as possible. So get your play in ASAP. The first Sunday-Nighter of the 2015 season. You already know which way NBC tv's Al Michaels will be going. And we're gonna join him. The OVER is really the only way to go in this game. You might remember that these same two teams ALSO opened up the Sunday night Week One schedule LAST season as well. Remember how that one went? The OU line in that game was 48.5 points. When the smoke cleared, the result was an old-fashioned NFL East Division shootout. Final score was Dallas 36 / NY Giants 31. The OVER cashed by 18 points.That outcome was not surprising given the recent tendencies of the Giants / Cowboys SERIES. In Eli Manning versus Tony Romo matchups, the average combined points has been 55.2. But that's nothing. This Dallas / New York series has gone 9-2-1 O/U in the last 12 meetings... and a PERFECT 5-0 O/U in the last five meetings. In the last six years, the games played IN 'Big D' have gone a PERFECT 6-0 O/U... with a gaudy average of 63.8 combined points per game. We're not gonna 'fade' numbers like those. Sunday night games were almost AUTOMATIC 'Over' plays last season. They started out by going 9-3 O/U in the first 12 weeks, with an average of 58.1 ppg... until coming back down to earth in the last four weeks (1-3 O/U).Our Playbook NFL database reveals two high-scoring recent situations that we can hang our hat on in Week One. The first one applies to teams who were in the Playoffs last season and won 12 or more games. The second one applies to the HIGH Over / Under line, which is currently at 51 to 51.5.11-1 O/U last four seasons: All NFL Week One HOME teams who won 12 or more games the previous season (COWBOYS).7-0 O/U last three seasons: All NFL Week One home favorites (COWBOYS) when the OU line is in the range of 48 to 53 points.In this game, we need touchdowns... NOT field goals!DALLAS has been one of the more consistent and highest scoring 'Red Zone TD percentage' teams at home in the last two years. They were one of only six teams last year with a home Red Zone TD % of > 60% (61% to be exact). And two years ago, they were even better (68%). NEW YORK has been one of the more consistent and highest scoring 'Red Zone TD percentage' teams on the ROAD in the last two years. They were one of only ten teams last year with a road Red Zone TD % of > 60% (61% to be exact). And two years ago, they were even better (64%).Pick Made: Sep 11 2015 7:16PM PST
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