Analysis:
Coach Fletcher’s
Saturday 2* Pick Two
Saturday, August 15
4:10 pm Los Angeles Angels at Kansas City Royals
The Pick Angels/ Royals under 7.5 2*
-120 William HIll
Cueto Takes On Angels
The Royals wanted a shut-down pitcher and went out and got Cincinnati’s
Johnny Cueto. So far it looks like a
good move. Cueto made his first home
start last week and went 9 innings against the hard hitting Detroit Tigers. Cueto went the distance and allowed 4 hits, 0
runs and fanned 8. Shoemaker had a 19
inning scoreless streak busted up last week against the White Sox.
The Pitchers
Cueto, KC Shoemaker,
Angels
·
8-7, 2.53 era 5-8,
4.36 era
·
4-1, 1.59 era home 4-2, 4.98 era road
·
1-1, 2.05 era last 3 0-1, 3.37 era last 3
·
3-2, 1.88 era last 7 1-2, 2.92 era last 7
·
5-4, 2.31 era last 15 3-5, 3.52 era last 15
·
1-1, 1.13 era grass 4-7, 4.09 era grass
·
1-1, 1.13 era August 0-1, 5.40 era August
·
1-1, 2.05 era post All-Star 1-1, 2.55 era post A;;-Star
·
LH hit .139 against LH hit .240 against
·
RH hit .250 against RH hit .280 against
·
0-0, 1.29 era vs Angels (2013) 0-1, 6.00 era vs Royals, last start 6 inn,
0 earned, 5 hits
The Bullpens KC – 2.20 home Angels – 3.99 road
Cueto can be counted on for a strong performance. Shoemaker was on a 19 inning scoreless streak
and approaching his form from a 16-4 2014 season. The Chisox hit him up for 3 HR, 9 hits and 7
runs in 6 2/3 innings. He had shut down
Cleveland and Houston prior to the Chicago disaster.
The Hitters
KC Angels
·
4.4 runs per game 4.1 runs per game
·
4.5 runs per game home 4.3 runs per game road
·
5.0 runs per game last 7 3.4 runs per game last 7
·
.279 batting avg home ,245 batting avg on road
·
0.79 HR per game 1.07
HR per game
·
.321 on base % (9th MLB) .308 on base % (21st
in MLB)
The Angels are in a little bit of
an offensive slump. It isn’t likely that
they will break out of it against Cueto.
They have been shut out in 3 of their last 10 games. They scored 5 once and over 5 just 2 times in
10. The Royals have scored 4 or less in
6 of last 10.
Odds and Ends
KC Angels
·
52.4 % games under 51.8 % games under
·
53.7% games under home 45.3% games under away
·
51.8% games under as fav 55% games under as dog
·
52.5% games under as hm fav 51.5% games under as away dog
·
51.7% under on no rest 53.1% under on no rest
·
51.8% under non division 55.7% under non division
·
5-5 last 10 5-5
last 10
·
12-8 -2 under
Cueto starts 9-9-2
under Shoemaker starts
·
71.4% under Cueto home starts 33.3% under Shoemaker away starts
·
63.2% under Cueto grass 56.3% under Shoemaker grass
·
66.7% under Cueto as favorite 50% under Shoemaker as dog
·
66.7% under Cueto night game 50% under Shoemaker night game
Shoemaker is 5-1-1 to the under in his last 7 starts. Cueto is 6-3 to under in last 9 starts.
Coach’s Conclusion:
I initially looked at this game as a play on KC and Cueto,
but the line was a little higher than I was comfortable with laying
(-180). The more I looked the better the
under seemed. Cueto is as good as
ever. Shoemaker looked like he had
turned the corner until his last start.
Cueto’s under numbers are massive.
Shoemakers not so much, but there are few situations where the under
didn’t figure.
The Pick Angels/Royals under 7.5 2* -120 William Hill
Pick Made: Aug 14 2015 8:35PM PST